With its population predicted to grow 100 million by 2050, Joel Kotkin envisions a resurgent U.S., according to an article in the Dallas Morning News written by Dr. Larry Allums.
Between 2000 and 2050, census data suggest, the U.S. 15-to-64 age group is expected to grow 42%. In contrast, because of falling fertility rates, the number of young and working-age people is expected to decline elsewhere: by 10% in China, 25% in Europe, 30% in South Korea and more than 40 % in Japan.
Immigration will continue to be a major force in U.S. Life. The United Nations estimates that 2 million people a year will move from poorer to developed nations over the next 40 years, and more than half of those will come to the U.S., the world’s preferred destination for educated, skilled migrants.
The new suburbia will be far more environmentally friendly, what I call “greenurbia.” The Internet, wireless phones, video conferencing and other communication technologies will allow more people to work from home: at least one in four or five will do so full time or part time, up from roughly one in six or seven today.
Entrepreneurs, small businesses and self-employed workers will become more common. Between 1980, and 2000 the number of self-employed individuals expanded, to about 15% of the work force. More workers will live in an economic environment like that of Hollywood or Silicon Valley, with constant job hopping and changes in alliances among companies.
Describing America’s “fundamental strengths,” Kotkin ironically, but perhaps appropriately, employs a non-Anglo word: “These traits provide the United States with what Japanese scholar Fuji Kamiya has described as sokojikara; a reserve power that allows it to overcome both the inadequacies of its leaders and the foibles of its citizens.”
The America of 2050 will likely remain the one truly transcendent superpower in terms of society, technology and culture. It will rely on what has been called America’s “civil religion” – its ability to forge a unique common national culture amid great diversity of people and place. We have no reason to lose faith in the possibilities of the future.
Note from Petey: It is a hard book to read so I was delighted to have this article to rely on. I must confess that I call myself an Edgy Conservative and therefore had a hard time not feeling offended because I still believe in the ethics, standard, ‘can do’ spirit, proud to be an American generation and hate to let that go with only a whimper of, “Oh, well … it’s time to let someone else take over” But, that’s just me. Read the book and see what you think.
Boston was both a business trip to meet with my Strategic Alliance, P3 Consulting partner, Andy Klausner and a fun trip including my husband and Jeremy Cooper. I pushed for having a photo taken on the original site where the tea was actually tossed off the ship signifying that’ enough was enough’. Due to time restraints we had to improvise. The staging meant standing tall enough to balance on one foot while lifting my high heel onto a 3 foot plus railing – all the while holding that pose so that you could see Boston in the background. Being totally out of my comfort zone, I wondered what those courageous folks where thinking while creating a bid of history known as the Boston Tea Party.
Not all ‘Tea Parties’ are political. Some come in much different forms;
Let’s face it, in this day and age, all of that is overshadowed by politics. As for me, no matter how you vote and/or feel about the newer Tea Party, it is incredibly wonderful to live in a country that allows us to take a stand and regardless of whether or not it’s your high heel, tea, comments or ideas that you are bringing to the railing, you can bring it because men and women throughout history have made it possible. So I say, no matter where you stand, stand tall for something you believe in and are willing to hold dear to your heart!
Every individual has a place to fill in the world and is important in some respect whether he chooses to be so or not. – Nathaniel Hawthorne